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U.S. Crude-Oil Stockpiles Likely to Fall in DOE Data, Analysts Say - MarketWatch

By Dan Molinski

U.S. crude-oil stockpiles are unanimously expected to decrease from the previous week in data due Wednesday from the U.S. Energy Department, according to a survey of analysts and traders by The Wall Street Journal.

Estimates from 11 analysts and traders showed U.S. oil inventories are projected to have fallen by 4.1 million barrels in the week ended June 18, with forecasts ranging from declines of 1.1 million barrels to 7 million barrels.

The closely watched survey from the DOE's Energy Information Administration is scheduled for release at 10:30 a.m. ET Wednesday.

Gasoline stockpiles are expected to rise by 800,000 barrels from the previous week, according to analysts. Estimates range from a decrease of 2.6 million barrels to an increase of 3 million barrels.

Stocks of distillates, which include heating oil and diesel, are expected to rise by 600,000 barrels from the previous week. Forecasts range from a decrease of 2 million barrels to an increase of 2 million barrels.

Refinery use likely rose by 0.5 percentage point to 93.1% of capacity. Forecasts range from a decrease of 0.5 percentage point to a 1.1 percentage-point increase. Two analysts didn't make a forecast.

Refinery Crude Gasoline Distillates Use Again Capital -4.2 1.1 1.4 0.8 Citi Futures -3.5 1 1 0.5 Commodity Research Group -3.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 Confluence Investment Management -3 -1 2 0.5 DTN -1.1 0.5 1.5 0.3 Excel Futures -6 2.3 -1 1.1 Spartan Capital Securities -3.9 -2.6 0.1 n/f Mizuho -3 3 1.5 -0.5 Price Futures Group -5 1 -2 1 Ritterbusch and Associates -4.8 1.0 0.8 0.4 Tradition Energy -7 2 1 n/f AVERAGE -4.1 0.8 0.6 0.5 Note: Numbers in millions of barrels, with the exception of refinery use, which is in percentage points. n/f = no forecast

Write to Dan Molinski at dan.molinski@wsj.com

(Adds API data)

By Dan Molinski

U.S. crude-oil stockpiles are unanimously expected to decrease from the previous week in data due Wednesday from the U.S. Energy Department, according to a survey of analysts and traders by The Wall Street Journal.

Estimates from 11 analysts and traders showed U.S. oil inventories are projected to have fallen by 4.1 million barrels in the week ended June 18, with forecasts ranging from declines of 1.1 million barrels to 7 million barrels.

The closely watched survey from the DOE's Energy Information Administration is scheduled for release at 10:30 a.m. EDT Wednesday.

Gasoline stockpiles are expected to rise by 800,000 barrels from the previous week, according to analysts. Estimates range from a decrease of 2.6 million barrels to an increase of 3 million barrels.

Stocks of distillates, which include heating oil and diesel, are expected to rise by 600,000 barrels from the previous week. Forecasts range from a decrease of 2 million barrels to an increase of 2 million barrels.

Refinery use likely rose by 0.5 percentage point to 93.1% of capacity. Forecasts range from a decrease of 0.5 percentage point to a 1.1 percentage-point increase. Two analysts didn't make a forecast.

The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, said late Tuesday its data for the week showed a 7.2 million-barrel decrease in crude supplies, a 959,000-barrel increase in gasoline stocks and a 992,000-barrel rise in distillate inventories, according to a source.

Refinery Crude Gasoline Distillates Use Again Capital -4.2 1.1 1.4 0.8 Citi Futures -3.5 1 1 0.5 Commodity Research Group -3.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 Confluence Investment Management -3 -1 2 0.5 DTN -1.1 0.5 1.5 0.3 Excel Futures -6 2.3 -1 1.1 Spartan Capital Securities -3.9 -2.6 0.1 n/f Mizuho -3 3 1.5 -0.5 Price Futures Group -5 1 -2 1 Ritterbusch and Associates -4.8 1.0 0.8 0.4 Tradition Energy -7 2 1 n/f AVERAGE -4.1 0.8 0.6 0.5 Note: Numbers in millions of barrels, with the exception of refinery use, which is in percentage points. n/f = no forecast

Write to Dan Molinski at dan.molinski@wsj.com

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